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Autumn Statement: Jeremy Hunt cuts National Insurance but tax burden still rises

  • By Brian Wheeler
  • Political reporter

Video caption,

The chancellor is challenged on his claim economy has turned a corner

Chancellor Jeremy Hunt has announced a bigger than expected cut in National Insurance in his Autumn Statement.

The main rate will go down from 12% to 10% from January – although previous tax changes mean many workers will not be much better off.

Mr Hunt also increased the state pension by 8.5% from April and said universal credit will rise by 6.7%.

The UK is predicted to narrowly avoid recession this year but growth forecasts have been sharply downgraded.

Mr Hunt used his hour-long Commons speech on Wednesday to claim the government had put the economy “back on track” by halving inflation – the rate at which prices go up – and reducing borrowing.

This meant he had room – within the government’s self-imposed rules – to cut taxes in an effort to boost economic growth, as he prepared the ground for next year’s general election campaign.

Labor said the 2p cut to National Insurance would not “remotely compensate for the tax [increases] already put in place” by the Conservative government.

Mr Hunt also confirmed that a tax break for companies that invested in new equipment would be made permanent, which he claimed was the “biggest business tax cut in modern history”.

But the percentage of the nation’s income being paid in tax is still set to rise to its highest level in 70 years, according to the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR).

More on the Autumn Statement

The reason for this, the watchdog added, is that inflation is expected to “remain higher for longer”, returning to its 2% target in 2025, a year later than forecast in March.

Interest rates will also be higher for longer, according to the OBR’s report. House prices will grow by 0.9% in 2023 and then fall by 4.7% in 2024, it adds.

Speaking after his statement to the BBC’s political editor Chris Mason, Mr Hunt said the tax cuts announced in it were “just a start”.

“Perhaps these are not the headline taxes, but they will help to grow the economy and grow people’s salaries and that’s the way we improve living standards for families up and down the country,” he added.

He said the OBR’s downgraded growth forecasts were still a “big improvement” on a year ago.

Other Autumn Statement announcements include:

  • Benefit cuts for unemployed people and those with disabilities who are judged to be not doing enough to find work
  • The minimum wage is to increase by more than a pound to £11.44 per hour from April next year
  • HAS freeze on alcohol duty until August next yearwith no increase in duty on beer, cider, wine or spirits
  • Tobacco duty to rise by 2% above inflation, with the duty on hand-rolling tobacco to rise an additional 10% above inflation
  • Unfreezing the Local Housing Allowance, to help people pay rising rents
  • Extending the 75% business rates discount for pubs, restaurants and leisure businesses for a further year

Mr Hunt said he had come up with “110 growth measures”, including £500m for artificial intelligence research, plans for more generous tax relief for TV and film production and £4.5bn over five years to attract investment into key manufacturing industries.

He also stuck to the government’s “triple lock” pension guarantee, increasing pensions in line with average earnings. It means someone on the full state scheme, introduced in 2016, will get £17.35 a week more. People on the old basic state pension – the majority – will receive an extra £13.30 a week.

‘I’ll need to put up prices’

Source image, @byheathersham

Image caption,

Nathalie Selvon-Bruce hires out ice cream vans and camper vans

Nathalie Selvon-Bruce, who hires out camper vans in Croydon, says the announcements are overwhelming as a small business owner.

Nathalie often gives initial quotes to wedding couples 18 months in advance – and is worried she won’t be able to stick to this when changes, such as the increase in the minimum wage, come into force.

“The stark reality is I will need to put prices up to find funds to increase wages,” she says.

Claire, who owns a hairdressing business in Truro, Cornwall, employs 10 people in her salon and also says minimum wage increase is a concern.

“We really need to sit down and think how we’re going to make it work,” she said. “At the end of the day, we do need to find that money.”

Read more reaction from self-employed workers here.

But the centrepiece of Mr Hunt’s statement was the two percentage point cut to National Insurance, which applies across the whole of the UK.

The chancellor said the reduction – which was twice as large as expected – would help 27 million people and “means someone on the average salary of £35,000 will save over £450 a year”.

He also abolished Class 2 National Insurance – a £3.45 a week tax on the profits of two million self-employed people.

The promise to cut National Insurance for millions at the beginning of January, rather than by April as is standard after an Autumn Statement, has fueled speculation around Westminster of a potential spring election.

The next general election must be held before the end of January 2025, but the prime minister can call it earlier.

Mr Hunt’s decision last year to freeze the level of income at which workers start paying National Insurance means millions will be dragged into paying higher rates or be forced to pay the tax for the first time.

Labour’s shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves said: “The fact is that taxes will be higher at the next election than they were at the last.”

She added: “What has been laid bare today is the full scale of the damage that this government has done to our economy over 13 years.”

Video caption,

Working people remain “worse off”, says shadow chancellor

Conservative MP Kwasi Kwarteng – who was forced to resign as chancellor after his tax-cutting plans sparked a backlash from financial markets – said Mr Hunt’s statement was “an attempted step in the right direction”, which would be welcomed by “core Conservative voters” .

Writing in The Telegraphhe said: “Of course, I would have liked to have seen more tax reductions, but I fully understand why Mr Sunak and Mr Hunt are taking a cautious approach, given my own experiences last year.”

For the SNP, economy spokesperson Drew Hendry said: “The chancellor wants you to think he’s pulled a rabbit out of the hat today but actually all he’s done is pulled the wool over many people’s eyes.

“Things are still getting worse for people. Inflation is still more than double the target that it should be and that means prices and costs for people in their homes are still going up day by day.”

The Liberal Democrats also accused Mr Hunt of “deception” and the government of being “out of touch and “out of ideas”.

The party’s Treasury spokesperson Sarah Olney said: “Conservative chaos has sent mortgages and tax bills soaring, today’s announcements won’t even touch the sides.”

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