Big Kid Adds (8/1/22)

While the NFBC Main Event gets most of the attention, there are several leagues with even higher entry fees ($2.5K to $15K). They were originally called “High Stakes Leagues” and this year there are nine of them. With so much money on the line, these fantasy managers will try to gain any advantage they can. Most of the time, these managers will be a week or two ahead of everyone else in their listings. Here are the players and some information about players added to five or more of these leagues:

Luis Garcia (9): After Taylor Rogers was removed from the closer’s role, the replacement was unclear. Then this tweet came out on Sunday.

Garcia’s numbers have been excellent this year with a 9.7 K/9, 1.26 WHIP and 3.23 ERA. In terms of counting, he has 4 wins, 1 save and 17 shutouts.

The only problem with Garcia going forward is that the Padres see the Rogers trade as temporary.

And then the bombshell came on Monday.

And now, Garcia is back as an usher.

Jake McCarthy (8): The 24-year-old has been decent this season in AAA (5 HR, 11 SB and .369 AVG in 165 PA) and the balanced approach has continued in the majors (3 HR, 4 SB and .273 AVG in 131 PA). Playing time limited McCarthy before David Peralta was traded to the Rays last weekend.

Before the trade, McCarthy started seven of ten games. Two consecutive starts have passed since the move.

Paul DeJong (8): DeJong hit OK in AAA (.249/.313/.552 with 17 HR and 1 SB), but was added to the MLB roster and got two straight starts at shortstop. While he stole nine bases in 2019, he’s mostly just a power-only threat (career .200 ISO) who will be an average drain (career .237 AVG). Ed. Note: Edmundo Sosa was also assigned PHI.

Pete Fairbanks (7): Fairbanks got the last two saves for the Rays. He just came out of IL with a torn Lat, but averaged 99-mph on his fastball. In 5 IP so far, he has 6 K while allowing 3 ER (all in his first two appearances).

There will always be some level of hesitancy in the Rays reliever selection, Fairbanks has all the makings to be a dominant closer.

Jonathan Hernández (7): Brett Martin held down the closer role until lighting up like a Christmas tree in his last four appearances (21.00 ERA, 12.0 BB/9, 9.0 HR/9 and 3.33 WHIP). Matt Moore secured the save on Thursday, but Hernandez came in to close out yesterday’s win.

On the season, Hernandez has thrown just 5 IP while striking out three batters and not allowing an earned run.

Jake Fraley (7): The 27-year-old Fraley steps into Tyler Naquin’s shoes on the strong side of the outside linebacker. Fraley has been terrible (.443 OPS) against lefties while at least average (.735 OPS) against righties throughout his career.

Fraley’s allure comes from his 11 HR and 13 SB in 390 career PA. These counting stats come with a .194 AVG, but a decent .311 OBP (13% BB%). Fraley is the perfect addition if you despise your batting average.

Bailey Falter (6): With a lack of starting pitching options, Falter has shown enough promise to be added to most of these leagues. In AAA, he had a 9.9 K/9, 1.56 ERA and 0.63 WHIP. He struggled to prevent runs (4.85 ERA) in the majors, but improved his strikeout rate each month.

Moon: K/9
Apr: 3.7
May: 7.0
June: 7.2
July: 11.4

The catalyst behind the change is moving from this sinker (9% SwStr%, 29% GB%) to his four-seater (15% SwStr%, 50% GB%).

I don’t buy Falter breaking out, but he’s interesting enough to use in the start against Washington (Espino).

José Suarez (6): I suspect that Suarez is added in the hope that he can perform well enough to beat Atlético in his next two scheduled starts. The roster is not based on his talent.

On the season, Suarez has a 5.01 ERA, 4.47 xFIP, 8.6 K/9 and 1.49 WHIP. His struggles continue to center around two traits, giving up a ton of walks (4.1 BB/9) and home runs (1.6 HR/9). He didn’t hold them in check in July (3.1 BB/9, 2.1 HR/9, 6.23 ERA) so I don’t know why people are rolling the dice on him turning against Oakland.

Franchy Cordero (6): Cordero is an easy one-week streaming option. The Red Sox have seven games against righties (HOU and KC), and Cordero is starting against all righties (.707 OPS vs RHP, .492 OPS vs LHP). Stream and drop.

Aledmys Díaz (5): I know Diaz is hitting well (.250/.306/.420, 9 HR, 1 SB) and has qualified at every position except tight end. He just isn’t playing (started seven of the last 10) and playing time will decrease once Michael Brantley is out of the IL and some players are added via trade. I don’t understand the request.

Jeimer Candelario (5): Looks like Candelario is finally healthy. He missed time with a dislocated shoulder and hit just .190/.242/.317 with 5 HR coming into July. He hit .267/.353/.520 with 5 HR in July. The key will be whether he can continue to produce in August.

Janson Junk (5): Junk is on everyone’s radar after striking out nine Royals in just six innings while allowing no runs in his first MLB start of the season. The strikeouts were a surprise as he had just gone 7.4 K/9 in the minors. I wonder if he made any changes because he struck out six and then eight batters in his last two minor league starts. I searched the internet for an answer and couldn’t find it.

Comparing his pitches from this start to his previous relief appearance, his slider velocity has increased (81.6 mph to 83.4 mph) along with a different movement. So far it hasn’t done great (10% SwStr%), but that’s the only change I could find. He is definitely someone to watch out for.

Matt Manning (5): It should probably be more about the one-time top 20 prospect returning to the majors, but Manning has disappointed with a 5.50 ERA, 4.98 xFIP, 5.9 K/9 and 1.45 WHIP in 93 MLB IP. That’s just not good.

I’m curious to see how Manning’s first MLB start goes. He has always had good results in the minor leagues (> 10 K/9) and is back in AAA (10.2 K/9). The deal is that those numbers never translated into the majors (5.9 K/9 for his MLB career).

Lewin Díaz (5): Diaz slid into the full-time first base job with Garrett Cooper in IL. This addition will look good if Jesús Aguilar and/or Cooper (on rehab) are traded. Diaz will need all the at-bats he can get to be viable in fantasy.

Diaz has one trait and one trait only, he hits for some power. Marketed as a 25 HR per year guy with a low batting average. So far, his career best maxEV is only 108 mph (44% percentile), but he puts it all in the air (34% career GB).

#Big #Kid #Adds

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