Chase Edmonds: Fantasy Football Outlook for the 2022 NFL Season

Fantasy football season is almost upon us. People are researching, trying to figure out who will be the best sleepers, what pitfalls to avoid early on, and scouting their shutdown position. The preparation is sometimes as fun as the draft itself. The hard work you put in is what feels so good when you make those mid-to-late round selections that pay off big. One aspect of scouting that is different every year is trying to discover a player’s potential when he changes teams. That’s exactly the case with Miami Dolphins running back Chase Edmonds.

The Dolphins signed Edmonds via free agency this offseason. His talent is undeniable. All you had to do was watch tape of him to see the ability he possesses, both in the running game and the passing game. So the question is, what should you expect from him in fantasy football this season?

Here are Chase Edmonds’ fantasy football outlook for the 2022 NFL season.

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An opportunity

As I mentioned earlier, there aren’t many questions about Edmonds’ abilities. He’s explosive, can run between the tackles and make guys miss on the outside. He’s also a great receiver out of the backfield. This last part cannot be understated and I’ll get into why shortly.

But one of the biggest reasons to be cautious doesn’t even have to do with him. That’s what the Dolphins added with Edmonds. Miami brought in former NFC Championship Game hero Raheem Mostert and Sony Michel. Plus, Myles Gaskin is still on the roster, listed fourth on the depth chart.

Mostert is a powerful downhill runner with explosiveness and speed. He doesn’t have great hands, and may be the most prone running back in all of football.

Michel is very durable and equally powerful. He lacks the breakaway speed to make a significant impact. However, he has always shown he has a nose for the goal line and could very easily score four to eight touchdowns this year.

Gaskin fell out of favor last season after a breakout season the previous year. But he’s actually the closest type of player to Edmonds. He’s a little smaller, can make guys miss and has really good hands.

So while the talent is there, it’s a very serious question how much work Edmonds will handle.

ADP questions

So we’ve talked about capability issues. But drafting in fantasy football is as much value as anything else once you get past the first few rounds. Yes, you want and need to hit your pegs. But you can’t win a fantasy league with your first few picks. However, you can lose the league.

Assuming you make the right selection early, you’re probably staring at guys like Chase Edmonds in the sixth or seventh round of the draft. I believe that is too high, but he will still go there. His ADP (average draft position) currently sits at pick #87, which is currently early in the 8th round in 12-team leagues. I expect that to increase as the season approaches.

Players like Tony Pollard and Melvin Gordon II also ran in this range. But I’d prefer Pollard and Gordon to Edmonds. I say that despite the fact that I believe Edmonds might be the most talented of the three.

Obviously there are concerns about the speed dial I addressed. But the new Dolphins running back has dealt with his fair share of injuries in the past. He missed five games last season due to injury. He missed three games the two seasons before that. So, Edmonds has shown that he’s a bit injury prone, even though he hasn’t had a major injury.

But everything I’ve said so far doesn’t mean he’ll be arrested. You just need to know the risks when you draw it.

In fact, there are many advantages to Edmonds as well.

Among qualifying running backs last season, Chase Edmonds ranked eighth with 4.42 targets per game. Also last season, despite his struggles, Gaskin finished not far behind with 3.7 targets per game. Assuming he’s relegated to the bottom of the depth chart, all of those targets should come to Edmonds.

He has great hands and Tua Tagovailoa likes to check that. Miami faces the third-easiest schedule to run in 2022. So there’s certainly reason for optimism. Just be aware if you’re counting on him being your every week RB2, there’s a lot of risk involved.

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