Cincinnati vs East Carolina Predictions, Odds: 2022 Week 11 College Football Picks, Best Bets By Proven Model

Cincinnati vs East Carolina Predictions, Odds: 2022 Week 11 College Football Picks, Best Bets By Proven Model

Two of the top five teams of the American Athletic Conference meet in a high-profile game Friday night. The East Carolina Pirates visit the Cincinnati Bearcats in game 10 of the campaign for both teams. ECU is 6-3 overall and 3-2 in team play, with Pirates winning the last three games. Cincinnati is 7-2 overall and 4-1 in AAC play in 2022, with a 20-3 mark overall in the last 23 games. ECU is 6-3 on differential, while Cincy is only 2-6-1 ATS in 2022.

Kick-off begins at 8 p.m. EST in Cincinnati. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Bearcats as a 5-point home favorite, while the total/lowest number of points that Vegas believes will be scored is 51.5 in the latest East Carolina vs. Cincinnati odds. Before making any Cincinnati vs. East Carolina picks, you need to check out college football predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates each FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six years, the proprietary computer model has earned a staggering $3,000 for $100 players on top-ranked college football picks for the difference. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on the ECU versus Cincinnati and just closed in on its picks and CFB forecast. You can head over to SportsLine now for our exhibitor selections. Now, here are several college football odds and betting lines on Cincinnati vs ECU:

  • East Carolina vs. Cincinnati spread: Cincinnati -5
  • East Carolina vs. Cincinnati over/under: 51.5 points
  • East Carolina vs. Cincinnati Money Line: Cincinnati -210, ECU +175
  • ECU: Pirates 3-2 vs. spread in the last five games
  • CIN: The Bearcats are 0-4-1 against the spread in their last five matches
  • East Carolina vs. Cincinnati Picks: See the picks here

Featured game | Cincinnati Pirates vs East Carolina Pirates

Why can cover East Carolina

With Holton Ahlers at the helm and plenty of firepower in skill positions, pirates are hard to defend. East Carolina averages 467.2 yards per game and 296.8 yards per game, sitting atop the Conference in several passing categories. East Carolina has only five interceptions and 12 sacks allowed in nine games, and Ahlers is one of the best players in the conference. He threw 2,632 yards and 18 touchdowns, scored 155.2 passes for the season and completed nearly 72% of his passes against AAC opponents. Ahlers has over 12,800 passing yards and 87 touchdown passes in his career, and is the focus of attack leading AAC with a third regression rate of 50.8%.

Running back Keaton Mitchell is also a standout, leading the AAC in the dash for 863 yards and producing nine touchdowns with 7.1 yards per carry. East Carolina also has two of the top five AAC receivers in Isaiah Winstead and CJ Johnson, and the Pirates are also in the top four in the conference in defending scoring, quick defending, and distances allowed per lunge attempt.

Why Cincinnati can be covered

Cincinnati has a hugely superior defense when comparing the two teams this season. The Bearcats only allow 21.0 points per game, the highest mark in third place in the American Athletic Conference, and Cincinnati ranks second in the conference in conceding 322.6 total yards per game. The Bearcats also only catch opponents for 180.9 yards per game, with super numbers on the sidelines. Cincinnati AAC leads in allowable completion rate (53.8%), yards per pass attempt allowed (6.2), bags created (32), and pass rating allowed (114.0) for opposing passing games.

The Bearcats are also #1 in the conference in yards per carry allowed (3.2), and Cincinnati have given up only 11 touchdowns all season. Top linebacker Evan Pace Jr. leads the defense, and he currently leads AAC in both tackles (96) and sacks (8.0).

How the East Carolina vs. Cincinnati Picks are made

The SportsLine model leans on the aggregate, with both teams expected to throw for more than 235 yards. The model also says that one aspect of diffusion hits in more than 60% of simulations. You can only see the model’s picks on SportsLine.

So who will win in East Carolina against Cincinnati? And which aspect of propagation affects more than 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of East Carolina vs. the Cincinnati spread you need to jump on Friday, all from the model that crushed college football picks, and find out.

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