Every day, one of our experts at Homefield Sports will make your best bet (or two or three). It could be a traditional spread bet, a player prop, or one of the various boosters offered by sports betting books.
Here are your best bets for Friday, August 5:
The play: MLB, Separate Money Line Bets: Pirates over Orioles and Nationals over Phillies
Odds/betting: Pirate +130 ($20 to win $26); Citizens +170 ($15 to win $25.50)
the book: Caesar’s sports book
Time/TV: Both games 7:05 p.m. (Pirates-Orioles MLB TV; Nationals-Phillies Apple TV+)
we took: What? The humbled Pirates and Nationals against hot teams chasing the playoffs?
I understand what you’re thinking. But sometimes in sports betting, especially in Major League Baseball, you have to be willing to meander where the others are. Either way, the playoffs competition favors the underdogs, and neither plays as badly as you might think.
The hacker, who just swept a three-game series from NL Central’s flagship Brewers, sent Mitch Keeler up the hill. He posted four consecutive quality starts, including three in which only one was allowed. Orioles counter with Dean Kramer, who has been good this year but hasn’t delved into the games — he hasn’t finished six rounds since June 28 — and rocked his last in Cincinnati.
As for the other game, Citizens traded Juan Soto, as you might have heard. What you probably haven’t heard are the names of any of their remaining players. But at a small sample size since Tuesday’s deal, the Nats hardly look like a broken team – they split two games with the NL East leaders Mets and then lost 5-4 to the Phillies yesterday in a game called up after five innings due to rain.
Today, Washington turns to Josiah Gray, a prospect who last summer took Major Tria Turner Max Scherzer to trade with the Dodgers. Gray’s numbers are a walker in the season, but he’s withstood tough competition this year and hits more than one hit per round. He faced this up with Philadelphia player Kyle Gibson, a direct contact who has been up and down and unlikely to beat a youth squad.
Again, the goal here is to split these two games and make a profit. If we can win both, even better.
Grab an extra run
The play: parlay MLB run-line, Rockies +1.5 over Diamondbacks / Reds +1.5 over Brewers
Odds/betting: +197 ($10 to win $19.70)
the book: Caesar’s sports book
Time/TV: Reds-Brewers 8:10 p.m. (Apple TV+); Rockies-Diamondbacks 9:40 p.m. (MLB TV)
we took: The money streak in these two games seems pretty high, but we’ll choose the safer streak option here. +1.5 can be a strong factor in baseball betting, especially for road teams that get an extra bat in games they lose.
The Reds are by no means good, but they have corrected the ship after an embarrassing start, and they are catching up to the Brewers who are some disarray after the aforementioned invasion by the pirates.
Meanwhile, the Rockies tend to hit the left pretty well, and Diamondbacks southpaw Madison Bumgarner wasn’t what it used to be. Over 8.5 is in play in this game as well, but we’ll take the running streak cushion in a game that should be akin to Pick ’em up.
Opening day EPL
The play: Premier League, Leeds defeat Wolverhampton (a draw lose)
Odds/betting: +135 ($10 to win $13.50)
the book: Vandel
Time/TV: 10 a.m. on Saturday (Peacock)
we took: Post this now because it’s happening early Saturday – the extra money here is a gift. Leeds played well in the final third of last season, with American coach Jesse Marsh helping the club avoid relegation. They are now back with reinforcements, including American players Tyler Adams and Brendan Aaronson.
Momentum – and base field – are right on the Leeds side here. Meanwhile, Wolves finished higher in the table last season, but weren’t particularly impressive in the second half of the season, struggling to score and relying too much on goalkeeper Jose Sa. I would love for Leeds to get off to a good start this season.
How did we leave
Thursday’s Best Bets
(From Wednesday) PGA Championship Wyndham: Adam Long to finish 20th (lose $24)
NFL pre-season, Raiders-Jaguars under 30.5 (loss $33)
Play MLB, Cardinals on Cubs / Phillies on Nationals (Won $11.80)
Thursday’s win/loss: – $21.20 (1-1)
Total for the week: – $125.20 (1-6, 1 hanging)
August total: – $125.20 (1-6, 1 hanging)
Total for 2022: – $265.30 (192-221, 1 pending)
note: If the line or odds are negative, it is considered the juice that one should place for the bet. For example: Team A is -160 on the money line, one would have to bet $160 to win $100 (or $16 to win $10). Or Team B is the 5-point favorite at -110, one must bet $110 to win $100 (or $11 to win $10).
Conversely, on positive lines, if Team C is +140 on the money line, $100 will bring in $140 (or $10 to win $14).
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Categories: Northern State Actions
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