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DraftKings Fantasy Football Picks: NFL Week 10 2022 Top Opposing DFS Targets

DraftKings Fantasy Football Picks: NFL Week 10 2022 Top Opposing DFS Targets

Welcome to the weekly tournament play article for the weekly DraftKings fantasy football main roster for Week 10. I’ll be focusing exclusively on upside plays, stacks, and strategies to help tackle the biggest tournaments on the roster. GPPs are not won by using all the most popular players on the board and finding some diamonds in relatively lower ownership will be the goal of this article.

Set yours DraftKings Fantasy football lineups here: $3.5 Million Fantasy Football Millionaire [$1M to 1st + ToC Semifinal Entry]


Stacks

Game stack: Miami Dolphins vs. Cleveland Browns

Tua Tagovailoa ($6,700) — Jaylen Waddle ($7,600) — Amari Cooper ($6,500)

The Browns and Dolphins rank in the bottom half of the league in pass defense DVOA and have some elite WR options, making this a very intriguing matchup. While running upside down Jacoby Brissett ($5,400) makes him an interesting payout target after the Dolphins let him Justin Fields ($6,500) rushing for 178 yards last week, it makes sense to go with a more reliable fantasy producer in Tua Tagovailoa as our starting point. Tagovailoa has averaged 29.5 DKFP with 10.4 yards per attempt in his last two starts. Cleveland’s defensive front is a concern after sacking Joe Burrow in their last start, but Miami is great at getting the ball out quickly allowing the 10th fewest turnovers in the league.

At the WR position we can start to differentiate. While you pay for the clean side Tyreek Hill ($9,100) is ideal, it’s Waddle in the $7K range who rates as a better pure tournament target to pair with Tagovailo. Waddle has proven at multiple points this year that his upside in this offense is as great as Hill’s, and while Hill is outscoring him in raw targets, he’s also seen three more red zone looks than Hill and holds a 6-for-3 touchdown advantage in relation to his teammate.

Fading Hill obviously requires some ingenuity, but aside from the salary savings and differentiation, it leaves us with more room to return to Amari Cooper. Miami’s secondary has been a sneaky good target for opposing WRs this year, giving up the 10th-most DKFP per game to the position and ranking eighth-worst in yards per pass attempt. The Dolphins don’t suffer much pressure (22nd in sacks per game) and that should provide more targets for Cooper, who has maintained an elite 26% target share this season and averaged 25.0 yards per catch over his last two outings.


Quarterback

Kenny Pickett, Pittsburgh Steelers at New Orleans Saints ($5,100)

Kenny Pickett has led a string of some of the toughest defenses in the NFL since taking over as the starter, including the Jets, Eagles and Bills. Fortunately, the Steelers QB is getting somewhat of a reprieve in Week 10. New Orleans’ defensive front isn’t what it used to be and ranks as league average this year in numbers per game and pressure rate. The Saints have also only allowed 81 yards rushing to Lamar Jackson and have given up over 70 yards rushing to an opposing QB twice this year.

Pickett has yet to put together a complete game or even above-average NFL stats to this point, but he’s averaged 43.5 pass attempts — and 22.5 yards — in his three starts, suggesting the game isn’t far away. Drafting at quarterback this week is tough, with injuries to multiple elite QBs and some less-than-ideal matchups on the board. Pickett offers high upside with a dual-threat QB tied with several elite WRs. He will also have extremely low ownership in major GPPs. He is a solid payment option at a position where most will pay for safety.


Running Back

Top End: Travis Etienne, Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas City Chiefs ($7,100)

The Jaguars have committed to a breakout season from Etienne, giving the sophomore 52 sacks over the last two weeks and playing him on over 80% of the snaps over the last three games. While the wins haven’t been piling up for the Jags, Etienne has made Jacksonville competitive in every game since his increase in bulk and, for that reason alone, should be in prime position again in Week 10. Kansas City is just 17th in run defense DVOA and have been an excellent fantasy matchup for opposing RBs, allowing 60 receptions (most in the league) and the sixth most DKFP per game. Etienne’s current job and performance are worth the club’s salary, so while we still keep him in the low $7,000 range, a buy is more than recommended.

Value: Dameon Pierce, Houston Texans at New York Giants ($6,300)

Pierce remains the ultimate opposite play, as he will be lined up against what could be slate chalk on the other side of the ball in Saquon Barkley ($8,600). Pierce produced his last timeout in a similar spot, racking up 137 yards on 27 carries against the Eagles in Week 9, but couldn’t find the end zone to turn the night into a massive game for fantasy owners. However, the game against New York is far more appealing because the Giants have consistently been one of the worst run defenses this year, allowing 5.5 yards per rush – second worst in the league. With the Giants favored and Houston having a poor rush defense themselves, Pierce will likely be overlooked for DFS, and his low $6,000 salary makes him an ideal pivot play.


Wide receiver

Top end: Chris Olave New Orleans Saints at Pittsburgh Steelers ($6,800)

Olave’s breakthrough seems just over the horizon. Novak now ranks second in yardage behind only the aforementioned Hill, and has averaged 10 targets per game over his last three outings. Olave’s fantasy performance was undoubtedly hampered by being tied to a low-ceiling point guard in the Andy Dalton ($5,500), but this week’s matchup may allow the rookie to finally overcome that handicap. The Steelers’ secondary has been destroyed on a regular basis by opposing WRs this year, as the team is allowing a whopping 15.2 yards per catch and the most DKFP per game at the position, too. With New Orleans’ defense regressing and Steelers’ opponents averaging 37.1 pass attempts against them this year, Olave should have a great chance to reach his true ceiling and pay a still-affordable salary.

Highest Value: Mecole Hardman, Kansas City Chiefs vs Jacksonville Jaguars ($4,500)

Hardman (abdomen) will potentially receive a question mark for this week’s game (he missed Wednesday’s practice), but it sounds like the issue is more maintenance-related than anything else. The third-year WR has stepped into a bigger role lately and played the most snaps of any Chiefs WR in last week’s game against the Titans. Jacksonville is another classic funnel-to-pass style of defense, as they are above-average in defensive DVOA against the run, but sixth-worst in DVOA against the pass. Teams are also passing over 35 times per game against Jacksonville and have allowed third down TDs at the WR position. Hardman’s increasing role and use of the red zone – he leads all Chiefs WRs with 11 red zone targets – makes him an ideal target in this game, which Kansas City should once again pass 40 times or more.


Tight End

Greg Dulcich, Denver Broncos at Tennessee Titans ($3,400)

Dulcich could actually be the answer to the Denver Broncos’ brewing woes on offense. The TE had a big role from the start in Denver and played a season-high 80% of the snaps in his last outing against Jacksonville. Dulcich also ran routes on over 80% of his snaps, and is now averaging 15.4 open yards per reception through three games.

The sample size here may be small, but Dulcich has lived up to the hype so far as a big target over the middle who can dominate linebackers with his mobility and cornerbacks with his size. This week he gets a Titans defense whose secondary coverage was below average and especially poor in covering the TE, allowing 11.6 yards per catch and the third-highest DKFP per game at the position. With Denver coming up bye, and Russell Wilson ($5,900) probably a step or two closer to full health, buying Dulcich while the price is still low seems like a great move.


Defense/Special Teams

Arizona Cardinals ($2700) vs. Los Angeles Rams

Both the Rams and Cardinals starting QBs are questionable for this game. Matthew Stafford ($5,600; concussion) Still, he appears more likely to be ruled out, as he entered the league’s concussion protocols on Wednesday, and will likely have little to no practice time this week, even if he is cleared. Stafford has been a shell of himself this year, as he enters this game averaging just 6.8 yards per attempt and has produced just eight touchdowns against eight interceptions.

The Cardinals D/ST has been one of the most opportunistic units in the league over the past month, producing four TDs and averaging 11.5 DKFP over the last four games. They’ve actually been far better at creating pressure in road games, too, averaging 2.8 sacks per game in four starts. With John Wolford ($4,900) potentially under center for Los Angeles this week — who produced 6.1 yards per attempt and a 231-0-1 line in his one NFL start since 2020 — Arizona looks like a solid value this week.

Set yours DraftKings Fantasy football lineups here: $3.5 Million Fantasy Football Millionaire [$1M to 1st + ToC Semifinal Entry]


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I’m a promoter at DraftKings and I’m also an avid fan and user (my username is wavegoodbye) and sometimes I can play on my personal account in the games I offer tips for. While I have expressed my personal views on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the views of DraftKings and do not represent that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All buyers should use their own skill and judgment in creating the composition. I may also employ different players and strategies than the ones I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and have no access to non-public information.


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