The Houston Astros and the Cleveland Guardians will face off in the third of a four-game series in Cleveland on Saturday night. With that said, it’s time to check out our MLB odds series, which includes the Astros-Guardians’ predictions and the pick we’ve put together below.
The Houston Astros, at age 70-38, are one of the best teams in baseball, with a 12.5-game lead at the All West. A strict commercial deadline ensured that Houston held the playoffs, and it could lead to a deep run in October.
The Cleveland Guardians sit at 54-52, tied for second at AL Central, just two games off the division lead. Despite their two-game losing streak, Cleveland are in tight competition for the playoffs, just two and a half games from Wildcard’s last place as well.
Below are the odds for the MLB Astros-Guardians, Courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Astros-Guardians . Odds
Houston Astros: -1.5 (-104)
Cleveland Guardians: +1.5 (-115)
More: 8.5 (-120)
Under: 8.5 (-102)
Why the Astros can cover the spread
Houston’s powerful attack improved with the additions of Tre Mancini and Cristian Vazquez in the trade deadline. Mancini had three hits as astro, and all three were home workouts. Whether it’s a change of scenery or leaving the newly expanded Camden Yards, Mancini appears to have made a comeback, which is bad news for the rest of MLS. Vazquez is an upgrade simply by taking rackets from Martin Maldonado, who is known more for his defense than his .209 hitting average career. Houston fired 151 attacks at home, finishing third in the league. Jordan Alvarez has captured 30 of those 151 and has added 0.412 on a percentage basis. There are landmines at points 1 through 9 in this group, making it nearly impossible for opposing shooters to navigate through them.
Houston will send Luis Garcia to the pile in this. Garcia has a 3.81 ERA in his 19 starts, hitting 112 in 106.1 innings. The deadly cutter, which hits only 0.151 hits, is Garcia’s primary weapon. On the road, Garcia hit a 2.72 ERA, with 50 strikes in 49.2 rounds. Houston’s Bullpen is the best in baseball, with a 2.71 ERA, hitting 359 hitters in 329 innings. Rafael Montero (1.64 ERA) and Ryne Stanek (1.21 ERA) make up one of the best baseball setup duos. Closer Ryan Pressley was also fantastic, with a 3.09 ERA and 21 saves, scoring 38 in 32 innings.
Why guardians can cover the spread
Cleveland has a very unique skill that was unleashed in an offensive manner. In an era of attacking hits, Cleveland has the lowest total in the league, hitting just 747 hits. At the center of the effort was rookie soccer player Stephen Cowan, who hit 0.295 with just 35 strokes in 346 strokes at bat. Even Jose Ramirez, Cleveland’s leading home hitter, walked further than he had. Ramirez fired 21 home runs and 34 hits while scoring 0.2282. As a team, Cleveland ranks fifth in the league with 195 doubles, to make up for their lack of power on their home ground. Cleveland’s 0.251 batting average ranks eighth in the league as well. Simply put, the ability to make a lot of contact without hitting is key to Cleveland’s offensive success.
Cal Quantrell is tonight’s starting pitcher, another feather in the Cleveland scouts and players’ development hat. Quantrill was acquired in Mike Clevinger’s massive trade, moving to a 3.33 ERA in parts of three seasons in Cleveland. This season, Quantrill has 4.08 ERAs in 20 starts. Batters only got 0.88 for changing Quantrill. When Cleveland has a lead at the end of the games, it usually stays that way with closest Emmanuel Classy. Clase, armed with a 100+ mph chopper, hit 1.22 ERA with 23 saves in 44.1 innings.
Selection and ultimate prediction for Astros-Guardians
This should be a good game, but Houston’s attack is very good.
Final Astros-Guardians Prediction and Pick: Houston -1.5 (-104), under 8.5 (-102)
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