Most American voters say climate change is not an immediate threat

A majority of American voters believe climate change is not an immediate threat and that the economy is their primary concern, an ominous sign for Democrats in the first half of next year, according to the July Harvard-Caps Harris Poll published August 3.

Only 45 percent of voters see climate change as a direct threat, including 66 percent of Democrats and 41 percent of Independents.

About 59 percent of voters oppose President Joe Biden’s energy and gas policies, while 63 percent believe his policies are responsible for the majority of gas price increases.

Most respondents want the White House to begin focusing on lowering prices and US energy independence on global warming issues, and they oppose politicizing the matter.

Only four in 10 voters believe that an emergency climate declaration by the Biden administration would be justified or even legitimate.

The survey found that 84 percent think the US economy is either in a recession or will be in one year ahead, while 42 percent of registered voters believe the economy is already in a recession, and 42 percent say it will soon enter a recession. .

Only 16 per cent of those surveyed believe the US economy will avoid a recession or that it is not currently in a recession.

The survey figures come as US gross domestic product declined in the first two quarters of 2022, at an annual rate of 1.6 percent in the first quarter and 0.9 percent in the second quarter.

However, the labor market remains strong, with the economy adding about 460,000 jobs per month in the first two quarters of 2022.

Most economists consider the economy to be in recession during two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth.

This is a slight shift from the June poll, when 49 percent thought the US economy was in a recession, while 39 percent said it would happen soon, and 12 percent said a recession would be avoided.

In terms of economic optimism, 33 percent of voters now think the US economy is strong today, versus 28 percent last month, while concern about inflation has fallen by six percentage points.

Although optimism about the economy has picked up a bit, the vast majority of Americans surveyed remain convinced that a recession is happening now or will happen by next year.

The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas published a report on August 2 claiming that “most indicators – especially those that measure labor markets – provide strong evidence that the US economy did not fall into recession in the first quarter”.

Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard, in an interview with CNBC on August 3, denied that the US economy was in a recession, despite two consecutive quarters of negative growth, due to positive employment numbers.

“With all the job growth in the first half of the year, it’s hard to say there’s been a recession. With a flat unemployment rate at 3.6 percent, it’s hard to say there has been a recession,” Bullard told CNBC.

However, when it comes to voters’ perceptions of the economy, most are unhappy with the Democrats’ position sometime before the midterm elections, when they are widely expected to face an uphill battle to retain control of Congress.

Meanwhile, Biden’s approval rating remains at a historic low of 38 percent.

A Harris poll in July showed both parties in a severe clash along partisan lines, with 50 percent of respondents supporting Democrats and 50 percent supporting Republicans in the midterm congressional elections.

Independents lean toward Republicans, 54 percent versus 46 percent.

“Democrats can still hold out hope ahead of the midterms, as the race heats up even though President Biden’s approval rating has been historically low and nearly half of Americans believe the country is currently in a recession,” he said. Mark BenHarris Poll, co-director of the Harvard-CAPS Poll.

Looking into 2024, most voters are still open to a moderate independent candidate, but among Republicans, Florida Governor Governor Ron DeSantis Establishing its position as a second choice. In these divided times, voters themselves seem to hold contradictory views on issues such as energy policy and Trump’s legal responsibility in January 6 Ben said.

The Republican Party’s approval rating has approached 50 percent for the first time since then February 2022, which is Five points higher than the Democrats’ approval rating.

The July Harris poll was conducted June 27-28 among 1,885 registered voters.

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Brian S. Jung is a New York City-based citizen with a background in politics and the legal industry. Graduated from Binghamton University.

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