We have top-notch boxing action on both sides of the Atlantic on Saturday, and Chris Oliver supports Dalton Smith when he locks in with Sam O’Maison.
Boxing Betting Tips: Smith vs. Omizon
1 point Dalton Smith to win in rounds 7-12 at 11/4 (Skybet)
1 point Erica Farias wins the decision at 7/2 (Skybet)
1 point Virgil Ortiz Jr. to win in rounds 7-12 at 8:13 (Skybet)
Sky Bet . odds | Buddy Power | Betfair Sportsbook
All about the prospects Saturday night with two shows on DAZN from both sides of the Atlantic.
The excitement on these beaches comes from Sheffield, where a very promising Dalton Smith gets a chance to shine in front of his fans in a local derby with Sam O’Maison.
The British lightweight belt is empty on the line, and in a crowded 140-pound domestic scene, the winner can look forward to some lucrative title defenses. Given his impressive progression over the past two years, it’s hard to see anything but Smith as the winner.
Smith set for a successful return home
With a perfect record of 11-0 (nine early), Smith is a 1/20 best price after a string of great performances that have seen him progress on every outing, and his performance this year has been his best. The 25-year-old dominated Ray Moylet before stopping the Irishman in the final round of a 10-round clash in March, before forcing a corner kick by Mauro Berwin to pull his player off after six one-sided rounds in June.
The Sheffield Wednesday fan moves very well, but it’s his timing and accuracy that really stand out, as he wastes so little and usually makes it count when he throws.
On paper, O’Maison (17-3) is a pretty good test for Smith at this point in his career, especially in the form of his two handy battles with Kay Prospere. After the first tie, the Yorkshireman abandoned a tight decision to come back and there was very little between the pair over the course of 20 rounds.
However, a long period of inactivity ensued, and since that match in September 2019, Omizon’s only business has been a four-point win over striker Sage Ambomo in May of this year. Ideally, O’Maison would have wanted another outing before this title tilt, and not having the last episode time makes an already tough task even more difficult.
Two of O’Maison’s three defeats came by stop, and at 1/6 he was stopped again here, with Smith’s hands expected to prove pretty heavy. However, the favorite likes to do a lot of his work on the back foot and looks to catch opponents who come through stinging counters, most notably a crisp left hook.
That, combined with O’Maison’s bluffing style, means that 8/13 around Smith’s win in Rounds 1-6 seems too short for me. Smith is expected to get his 10th stop at some point, but the better value may be if that comes in the second half of the competition at 11/4, where the superb and favorite player will likely not be in a hurry to get his man. From there early doors.
Rising stars Hobby Price, Johnny Fisher, Campbell Hutton and Aqib Fiyas are all expected to maintain their undefeated records in South Yorkshire, but the card battle could be a rematch between Sandy Ryan and Erica Farias.
Ryan and Villas prepare for a delicious comeback
The duo impressed the fans with a 10-round war in Nottingham earlier in the year, when the latter secured the referees’ approval by a split decision, and we’re happily seeing them do so again.
This was Ryan’s first loss, but it was a tough claim on only her fourth professional tour, and she lost very little in defeat as a result. The 28-year-old from Derby will have learned a lot from that contest, and available in 4/9 (maximum 1/3), she classes in to earn enough from that defeat to exact her revenge. That may well be the case, she has size and youth on her side, but the 7/2 available about Farias repeat dose with other points, the success is too great to ignore.
While a judge gave Ryan the first fight, Farias seemed to be a clear winner to most observers as her high output and aggressive style seemed to overwhelm the home fighter at times. The Argentinian was busier for long periods of the match, maintaining her double attacks on the head and body, and we can expect more of the same.
She may be 38 now, but it looks like she didn’t slow down that night and had a wealth of experience as the former welterweight champion. She entered the first fight after three defeats, but it was in the world title attempts against Jessica McCaskill (twice) and Michaela Meyer, and it pushed these world operators to make tough decisions in each one.
It’s Ryan’s youth and strength versus Farias’ experience and work rate, and at prices, the latter is the most attractive in what is likely to be a tight competition.
We go from one of the best odds in the UK to one of the best in the world in the form of Virgil Ortiz Jr., who takes on Britain’s Michael McKinson in Texas.
Ortiz’s rise through the welterweight ranks has been as fierce as it has been impressive, with 18 knockouts from 18 bouts, and is considered by many to be the heir to the 147-pound throne. This is a huge task for McKinson, who is also undefeated but has done most of his work away from the bright lights of big TV shows and has only stopped two of his 22 victims.
Ortiz Jr can knockout again
Just as their knockout percentages vary greatly, so do their methods. While Ortiz is all about power and unleashing hell with his evil combos, McKinson is a clever and deceptive agent who loves to hang on his back foot and looks forward to taking you by the counters.
The Portsmouth native enjoyed a big win over Chris Kongo and Przemyslav Ronovsky last year, but those streaks couldn’t rival Ortiz’s 2021 victories over former world champion Maurice Hooker (KO7) and Egédigos Kavaliauskas (TKO8).
This fight was originally scheduled to take place in March, but Ortiz was forced to withdraw due to rhabdomyolysis, which is the breakdown of muscle tissue and can be harmful to the kidneys, and instead McKinson selected late substitute Alex Martin. Assuming Ortiz has fully recovered – and insists he is – McKinson’s shock 9/1 win seems highly unlikely.
The underdog is skilled on the back foot and able to frustrate Ortiz with plenty of movement and a left-hand kick, but the question is for how long? These tactics will be tiring, and without popping the punches to fend off Ortiz, MacKinson will have to taste the power of the 1/12 favorite at some point and that can happen when the game plan unfolds.
I imagine Ortiz continues his impressive knockout streak and has that somewhere in the second half of the fight (13/8).
Posted at 1150 GMT on 05/22/08
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