Preview and best bets for DAZN and Sky Sports cards
Boxing expert Chris Oliver delivers his verdict on a packed Saturday, with John Ryder, Dillian White and Nathan Gorman all appearing among his picks.
Boxing betting tips: Saturday 26th November
2 points John Ryder beat Zack Parker 2/1 (Sky Beet)
1 point Dillian White wins by decision 4/1 (Overall)
1 point Nathan Gorman wins by decision 7/1 (bet365, Coral, Ladbrokes)
Sky Bet odds | Buddy Power | Betfair Sportsbook
It’s a very busy weekend for boxing fans and there may be some value to be found in the plethora of tasty fights on offer. With the televised cards on Friday and Sunday, there are also two big draws in London Saturday Night Cards and viewers are faced with a difficult dilemma as to which channel to choose.
DAZN’s screen is arguably the best overall card at Wembley Arena, but BT Sport has the best and brightest fight of the evening as Zach Parker vs. John Ryder Headlines at the O2 Arena.
In an unusual event for a Matchroom fighter and a Queensberry fighter facing off in a main event, this is a fantastic all-British contest between a hot prospect and an experienced warrior. This type of scenario often results in great bouts and fans are split in what seems like a real fight 50-50, so it’s a little surprising to see Ryder available on 2/1 and Parker so warm on 2/5.
Ryder, after all, has all the pedigree, having mixed in a global company for some time now and proving he belongs there. He pushed Billy Joe Saunders pretty close in 2013, but two more losses in the next two years pointed the super middleweight soaring and he took his form to a new level at 168 pounds.
While few gave him so many chances before challenging for his WBC title against then-unbeaten Callum Smith in November 2019, many thought he deserved a nod when that very close contest went to the scorecards. The 34-year-old has won all three matches since then, including a career-best victory over former two-welterweight world champion Daniel Jacobs when last seen in February. Like Smith’s fight, it could have gone either way, but this time Ryder got the nod and has now won seven of his last eight.
On the other hand, Parker is all about potential and although he didn’t fight anywhere near the level of the opponent as Ryder, he looked very good getting here. The Derby native has thrived since his controversial win over Darryl Williams three years ago, then took five straight stoppage wins and did so with the kind of ease you’d expect from someone willing to be tested at the world level. Now the questions about whether it is worth having dinner at the top table will be answered.
Parker is a tall, switch hitter who mixes his shots well and has developed good power as he progresses. The 27-year-old was impressive when he stopped Marcus Morrison in four rounds last November and he still seems to be getting better, but that has to be the case here because Ryder is a huge step up in his class for him.
He’d be too big and strong for an underdog, Parker said, but that’s exactly what Smith said before Ryder gave him a hot night. The latter uses his lack of height to his advantage, using his quick feet to quickly cover the ground and get into range to launch his heavy hook. He also does 12 rounds very well and seems to be getting stronger with each session, so Parker will need to get his respect early or he may struggle to keep his man at bay in the second half of the fight.
In a competition that could go either way, I can’t help thinking Ryder would have to be much shorter than 2/1 and that’s where my money is going.
It’s difficult to gauge how well Parker would fare given the level of opposition he was losing and his rapid winning streak probably did little for his education, which could prove decisive against such a seasoned professional as Ryder. It also means Parker has only had seven rounds in the last two and a half years, and now has a 12-month absence to overcome.
Yes, Parker has looked very promising, and it wouldn’t be surprising if he challenged the upswing in the class with a huge victory. Still, this would put faith in the unknown, while we know what we’re going to get from Ryder – a non-stop pressure fighter that will keep coming and being tried and tested at this level. Parker may have improved since the Williams controversy, but this was the last real pressure fighter he faced, and he didn’t quite cope with it on that occasion.
If Ryder can get Parker to work early and not take any meaningful punishment, the underdog is able to take the favorite deep water down the stretch and make the 2/1 odds look pretty big.
The cross-town premiere event on DAZN may not be competitive on paper, however Dillian WhiteInteresting comeback against Jermaine Franklin in a different sense.
The last time we saw Wyatt, he was knocked out in stunning fashion by Tyson Fury in front of 94,000 fans at Wembley Stadium seven months ago. After waiting several years to claim his title as the mandatory challenger in the WBC rankings, ‘The Body Snatcher’ came out with a whimper when his chance finally came, as Fury easily outplayed him before the champ delivered the final bout for the fight at the end of the sixth round.
The rebuilding begins here for Whyte, and with talk of a rematch with Anthony Joshua next year, the boxing world will be watching closely to see what he still has to offer. Its odds of 1/10 suggest this should be an easy enough task, but there could be more to it than that.
Franklin (7/1) brings a perfect 21-fight record from America, but the best names in his roster are familiar test horses like Riddle Booker, Jerry Forrest and Pavel Sur and they have all gone the distance with the man from Saginaw. , Michigan. Visitor comes to the fight and has a quick hand, but his slow foot lets him down, and as a result, he’s there to get hit when he often launches his attacks from out of range. Franklin talked about a good game, but that’s really about Whyte and what he has left.
This is Franklin’s biggest fight by far, and in fact, the best of Whyte will stop the underdog in fine style here, which is reflected in a 1/3 around stop favorite winning. However, the big question is how close Whyte is these days to his best destruction? That defeat to Fury was his second loss in his last three fights, having been ignited by Alexander Povetkin in August 2020. He avenged the first defeat with his style, but those two brutal pair of knockouts could have taken a toll on both mentality and physically.
The Brixton resident has gained a lot of fans for his string of big fights against good opposition over the past five years and rightfully so, but he’s had several rough nights in the office (and training camps) as a result and that won’t be the case. Surprisingly, if the candle doesn’t burn anywhere near as bright for Whyte now at 35 years old.
I’m expecting Whyte’s peak to finish this around rounds 5-8, a 9/5 chance, victory in the second half for the local guy is a great runner at 6/4, but my concerns about what’s left in the tank mean I’m willing to take a chance at Points win to favorites on 4/1.
I think Whyte was declining before the Fury battle and the manner of that defeat may have only helped hasten that decline, meaning Franklin could force him to work harder than we would normally expect.
Veteran Gorman to score the winning points
Another interesting heavyweight contest is on the undercard as Fabio Wardley put his unbeaten record on the line against Nathan Gorman when they are vying for the vacant British title.
Wardley has knocked out 13 of his 14 victims and has a lot of hype behind him but he has fought few opponents with any real ambition yet and we don’t know how good he is yet. Having come from the white collar scene with no real amateur experience, Wardley is still very much a work in progress, and although we know he can explode, he still looks technically raw.
Conversely, Gorman boxed at a high level during a good amateur career and is more experienced. His only loss came in a disappointing performance when he challenged Daniel Dubois for that same belt in 2019, but he insisted the fifth-round knockout sharpened his focus, and he rebounded with three comfortable victories.
It’s not surprising to see Wardley a warm 2/5 favourite, given the knockouts on a highlight reel and this running on his promoter’s show, but Gorman offers a much more serious test than the 5/2 odds would suggest.
While another stop for Wardley is entirely possible, there is little juice in 11/10’s showing about this score, nor in 11/4 about winning on points because he hasn’t made it past six rounds yet, and this is his first scheduled 12-round contest. With that in mind, along with Gorman being the most technically accurate, 7/1 is available about the latter scoring a Resolution victory Attracts my attention.
There are question marks over Wardley’s fuel tank and Gorman has shown he can do 10 well on a few occasions in the past, so if he can stand up to Wardley’s power then we could get a serious run for our money at a hefty price here.
Posted at 1045 GMT on 11/25/22
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